Backcasting and Calibration
This section discusses how backcasting is performed, including the inputs, outputs, and the steps involved.
Use and Purpose
Backcasting involves modeling historical load data to improve the accuracy of future forecasts. Before doing this, a historical load must first be completed.
Prerequisites
- Historical Load
Tutorial Video (to add)
- Phase 1: File Integration
- Phase 2: Commandline Setup
Inputs
Prepare to include the Event File, Region Demand, and Must Run Generation files from the previous historical load. These files are generated automatically and follow these naming conventions:
- Event File:
Ev_[HistoricalLoadFileName].csv - Region Demand:
Demand_[HistoricalLoadFileName].csv - VRE Generation:
MRGCFac_[HistoricalLoadFileName].csv
Use the hourly data (DemandHR_xxxx.csv and MRHCFac_xxxx.csv) if the time interval needed is hourly instead of 5-minute.
If multiple scenarios are present, the top-most scenario in the list will be executed first. When new scenarios are added to Apollo, you must click the Restart button to ensure proper initialization.
Exercise
Give it a try and do this exercise:
Step 1 of 3
Run and Initialize